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[français]

Address to Canada-Peru Business Council

Address by David Kilgour, Secretary of State (Latin America and Africa)
to Canada-Peru Business Council
Lima, Peru, November 10, 1997

Good morning. I am very happy to have the opportunity to meet with the Canada-Peru Business Council. Your success as an organization over the last two years is evidence of the importance of commercial relations between Canada and Peru.

I am also very pleased to be in Peru on this, my second trip to Latin America. In August this year I had a brief opportunity to visit two of your neighbours, Bolivia and Chile, and to inaugurate a natural gas pipeline between Argentina and Chile, built with Canadian technology. Considering the tremendous growth in bilateral trade between Canada and Peru -- which has increased by more than 100 per cent to $306 million in just two years -- it is fitting that Peru should be my next stop.

We all know the great extent of Canadian business involvement in Peru's efforts to develop its mining and energy sectors. As a Secretary of State from Western Canada, I am particularly pleased by the progress in these areas, as well as the improvements in Canada's agricultural trade with Peru. I am also aware that Peru has many products with market potential in Canada.

Canadians share with Peruvians a desire to see expanded trade throughout the hemisphere. We look forward to efforts to establish a Free Trade Area of the Americas by 2005 -- efforts that will be continuing in Santiago in April. We also share Peru's aim of facilitating trade with the MERCOSUR countries, and of course we look forward to enhanced ties with all the Andean countries.

I've been told, however, that as a group you are all very well informed about current bilateral trade and investment between Canada and Peru. So rather than repeating speeches you have heard before from other Canadian officials and politicians, I would like to direct most of my comments to reporting on the current situation in Canada.

Pilgrim's Progress In Canada

Ottawa has made enormous progress in recent years toward bringing its fiscal deficit under control. We have brought down our deficit to the point that we will soon be in a surplus position, and will be able to pay down our debts, as well as increasing our investments in Canada's primary resource -- its people.

There is other good economic news. A recent study has found that Canada has lower overall business costs than the United States and five leading European countries. The study, conducted by the independent international consulting firm, KPMG, compared the cost factors that companies look at when deciding where to locate. Canada was found to be the lowest-cost location in each of eight key manufacturing industries examined. The study found that Canada had lower start-up costs, low telecommunications rates, low interest rates, and the lowest overall tax burden of the seven nations studied. This gives Canada a 5.4 per cent cost advantage over the United States, and as much as an 11.8 per cent advantage over seventh-place Germany.

This study reinforces other positive forecasts about the Canadian economic climate. In September, the International Monetary Fund predicted Canada would lead the industrial world in economic growth this year and next. Canada is increasingly being seen as an attractive investment location as a base to serve the NAFTA countries.

These developments represent an astonishing turnaround in our economic situation. Four years ago, Canada's economy was at the brink, and Canadians and many in the rest of the world had lost confidence in us. In 1993-94, our deficit stood at $42 billion, or about six per cent of GDP.

As a result of tough fiscal measures, and lower interest rates, our 1996-97 deficit was recently announced at $8.9 billion -- nearly $20 billion lower than the previous year. That's the largest year-over-year improvement in Canadian history, and is the lowest Canadian deficit in two decades. As a proportion of Canada's economy, it is the lowest deficit since 1970-71, at only 1.1 per cent of GDP. Prime Minister Chrétien has announced that we will eliminate the deficit entirely by no later than 1998-99. Some say the Liberal government will complete this year in a fiscal surplus.

Virtuous Circle

Canada's sound fiscal management and lower deficit have helped to lower interest rates, and this too has contributed to a virtuous circle, bringing the deficit down even further. Our short-term rates, which have historically been higher than in the United States, are now two per cent lower, and even our ten-year bond rates are lower. To reduce Canada's vulnerability to interest rate fluctuations, we are increasing the ratio of longer-term fixed rate debt and have now reached our goal of 65 per cent long-term.

This does not -- not -- mean we plan to go back to our old patterns of spending. The fiscal dividend will arrive slowly, and we still have a huge accumulated debt of about $600 billion to pay down. Our debt to GDP ratio was 73.1 per cent last year, and we are committed to a permanent decline of this ratio. Not all the fiscal dividend will go into debt reduction, but instead of spending it away, or delivering across-the-board tax cuts, the Chrétien government will be providing targeted tax relief, for example to students, persons with disabilities, and children of low-income working families. We will also invest strategically, through targeted tax measures or new spending, on core needs such as health care, education, innovation, and the reduction of poverty.

Technology Challenge

Growth is, of course, central to a strong economy, but knowledge and skills are essential to growth. Technological change enhances growth, but it can also enhance inequality. The gap between rich and poor can most effectively be reduced through the acquisition of knowledge and skills. In that sense, the most important infrastructure investment we can make is the one in the skills of our people. This applies both within Canada and globally.

Rapid technological change and globalization are creating new challenges, but also providing new opportunities. Canada is striving to take the lead in a number of new technologies to ensure a more positive economic future. Whether in mining or manufacturing, telecommunications or environmental technology, innovation will be the foundation for new jobs and a growing economy.

I have noted the measures Canada has taken to put its own economic house in order and to promote innovation at home. We would not be good citizens of this hemisphere -- or indeed the world -- if we did not also contribute to the building of a knowledge infrastructure in other countries of the Americas. Canada's aid contribution to Peru is one of the largest in this hemisphere. On this visit, I have been visiting a number of our projects in Peru that aim to promote technology transfers. I 'll be reporting favourably on what I have seen upon my return.

When our heads of government meet in Santiago in April, they will be discussing ways to build a liberalized trading area throughout the Americas. They will also be discussing social development issues, such as education, human rights and governance. Are not all these issues interrelated? A prosperous economy depends on investment in people, and in fundamental democratic freedoms.

I have touched briefly on Canada's trade relations with Peru, on Canada's efforts to bring its own fiscal house into order, and on our desire to contribute to technology transfer and the building of a knowledge infrastructure throughout the hemisphere. I will close my formal remarks now, and would be happy to listen to your comments or questions about these or other matters.

Thank you.

 
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