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Stability and Good Governance: Preconditions for Development

Speech to Board of Directors, North-South Institute
By David Kilgour, Secretary of State (Latin America & Africa)
May 13, 1998

It is a pleasure to be here today with people at the forefront of development issues. We owe a great debt to the North-South Institute for its insights, research and publications. You should be applauded for keeping development issues in our public dialogue. Hopefully, my comments today will contribute in some way to your discussions.

The lack of consensus about the meaning of the word "development" is often striking. Some express it in terms of economic progress; others in terms of some notion of "modernity"; and still others in terms of harder-to-define measurements of quality of life. All too often, there is a tendency to treat economic and political development as separate compartments, requiring different preconditions.

As an elected person with a background in economics – not something I usually admit in public – and now as I travel in Africa and Latin America as Secretary of State, I’m constantly aware of the interplay between the political and economic spheres. Recent visits to Africa and Latin America have underlined the importance of getting the politics right before we can even say: "It’s the economy – stupid." Equally, growth and stability in economies gives breathing room for democratic practices to take root.

Canada in the World

Our government’s statement on foreign policy a few years ago, Canada in the World, cites as a key objective the promotion of global peace as a central element of our foreign policy. To quote: "Stability and security are prerequisites for economic growth and development." If these are prerequisites, and they surely are, any discussion of development must address as its starting point the promotion of peace, democratic development and good governance. Without these three ingredients, no amount of foreign aid, no matter how carefully spent, can ever achieve "development." No matter how we define it, development can only be built on a foundation of political stability.

In his recent report to the Security Council on the causes of conflict in Africa, UN Secretary General Kofi Annan pointed out that since 1970 Africa has had more than 30 wars fought on its territory. Most of these have been intra-state in origin. Fourteen of Africa’s 53 countries faced armed conflicts in 1996 alone. Annan concludes that peace and development are inextricably linked – "one feeding the other, enabling the other, and securing the other." I couldn’t agree more.

To quote the Secretary General again: "Good governance – ensuring respect for human rights and the rule of law, strengthening democratization and promoting transparency and capability in public administration – is now more than ever the condition for the success of both peace and development. Indeed, it is not a coincidence that Africa’s renaissance has come at a time when new and more democratic forms of government have begun to emerge and take root."

In my own travels in Africa, the complex relationship between stability, good governance and economic development has been abundantly apparent. There is a spectrum of circumstances, ranging from the war-torn and ungovernable to the vibrant and thriving, and everything in between.

Uganda on an upswing

Last September, I visited Uganda, Rwanda and Kenya. Uganda is a prototypical example of a country with tremendous advantages at the time of independence – a well-educated population, fertile land, and relatively good infrastructure. Through problems of civil discord and bad governance – at their worst under the dictatorship of Idi Amin – it sank to unimaginable levels in what became a vicious cycle. Many of the more educated Ugandans fled the country, the modern economy imploded, and infrastructure collapsed. For years Uganda remained in its downward spiral.

By the time of my visit in fall 1997, Uganda had come out of that spiral and was on an upswing. Although President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni came to power as the result of an armed struggle a decade earlier, he has made enormous strides in restoring good governance. Stability was restored with the ending of civil war; the administration was cleaned up. The economy has been liberalized and opened to foreign investment, including a sizable involvement by the expatriate Ismaili community in Canada.

This has paid off in economic success. Uganda has experienced strong growth rates since Museveni came to power – averaging six per cent prior to 1994, and rising to eight per cent and higher since then. Fully 2,000 international companies reportedly have moved in during recent years. Uganda remains one of the world’s poorest countries, but with sensible government policies it is moving briskly in a better direction.

In terms of democratic development, Uganda has not yet embraced the Western ideal of a multiparty government, and maybe this is not even Museveni’s goal. He hasn’t muzzled the opposition either. He has, however, moved forward with a consensual model that allows expression of direct dissent and incidentally allocates five parliamentary seats for representatives of the disabled. Though Uganda has a long way to go, there is much cause for optimism.

Rwanda still lacks peace

My next stop, Rwanda, has experienced horrendous civil war and genocide. It now has a government that has stated its commitment to good governance, human rights, democratic development and perhaps most important of all, reconciliation and justice. But its way forward is obstructed by continuing civil war, and an unreconciled population. The economy as a result remains very poor and direct foreign investment is not coming. Despite the generally good intentions of the government, the lack of peace is an obstacle to domestic and foreign investment and economic development.

My final destination on last September’s trip was Kenya. That country has not experienced violence on the scale of its neighbours, but it has suffered much violence nonetheless. Kenya recently underwent multiparty elections, but it has experienced serious problems of governance. I share with Kofi Annan the belief that good governance is a major prerequisite for economic development, and that Africans must look beyond the colonial past for sources and solutions for current problems. For international and domestic business to be attracted to an investment opportunity, it must be assured the rules are fair and transparent. Without these assurances, business will go elsewhere. Unfortunately, Kenya has missed out on many opportunities.

Sierra Leone restores democratic rule

In March this year, I visited the western part of the continent on a trip that combined business development with a Commonwealth ministers’ mission to deal with the fragile political situation in Sierra Leone. Only weeks earlier, that country saw the return to office of President Tejan Kabbah, who was elected in 1996, but ousted in a May 1997 rebel coup. The Commonwealth visit was intended to show support for the return of the duly elected government.

Sierra Leone was then an example of a collapsed state. Its modern infrastructure was destroyed and the country was ruled by warring factions. These often used child soldiers, many coerced into war by such groups as the senselessly cruel Revolutionary United Front. All sides fought over the wealth of the minerals – diamonds – and the losers were the people of Sierra Leone.

The return of elected government is a positive sign, but Sierra Leone’s administration and infrastructure must be totally rebuilt and all areas of the country pacified before that country can hope to advance economically. With so many opportunities elsewhere in Africa, business will be hesitant to return until there is more confidence of political stability. Happily there is a precedent for this. On the same trip, I saw how Mozambique, which was in similar state of conflict, has been rebuilding, reconciling, and is again attracting outside investment. Former enemies have abandoned guns and landmines in favour of remarkably civil parliamentary debate.

Guinea and Togo are both countries with long-term Canadian investment and positive relations with Canada. But most investment has remained concentrated in traditional sectors, such as resources, rather than in sectors linked to a modernizing nation such as telecommunications. While these countries benefit from a relatively tranquil political environment on the surface, greater transparency and more participation by civil society would result in an improved climate for long-term development.

Three success stories

The countries that gave me the greatest sense of optimism were Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana and Mali. Along with Senegal, Côte d’Ivoire especially has benefited from French investment since independence. Abidjan, the economic capital, is often called "the Manhattan of West Africa." Until recently, French firms were overwhelmingly dominant, but that has changed. Since the collapse of commodity prices in the 1980s, there have been structural reforms, and a growing number of capable technocrats have come to influence.

At the same time, Côte d’Ivoire has turned to other countries for investment, including, to a growing extent, Canada. The country has made great advances toward good governance, and is moving in the direction of democratic development. This forward thinking is paying off in considerable economic development, not only in traditional sectors, but in modern sectors as well. In fact, Canadian firms developed software and provided technical expertise for the regional stock exchange that is opening in Abidjan.

Ghana also has been moving in a positive direction. It represents one of the more interesting experiments of a military government transforming itself into a civilian one. President Jerry Rawlings has made great strides in areas of good governance and democratic development. Ghana was also a pioneer in structural adjustment. These factors – not by some fluke – coincided with healthy economic growth. Ghana has seen an inflow of foreign investment – a lot of it from the United States, but also from elsewhere, including Canada.

The case of South Africa is well enough known that I won’t add much except to say that the "Mandela Miracle" has brought political stability and reconciliation. These were the missing ingredients in a country that already had a sound infrastructure, and this has again made South Africa attractive to investment.

A desperately poor country like Mali might not come first to mind as one of the continent’s bright spots. On the United Nations development index, Mali ranks 171st of 175 countries. As a dry Sahelian country, it has experienced desertification from the advancing Sahara. About 85 per cent of the population is illiterate. At first glance, it faces every conceivable development barrier.

But Mali has a forward-looking government that came to power democratically and has governed well. President Alpha Oumar Konaré has modernized the administration, cleaned up laws and regulations, and implemented progressive economic reforms. He has taken initiatives to combat arms proliferation and end the guerrilla warfare that long disrupted Mali’s north. Steps are being taken to privatize industries in the energy, telecommunications and transport sectors, and to attract foreign direct investment. About 23 Canadian companies are currently active in Mali, and mining, transportation and water development provide many opportunities.

Certainly Mali has a long way to go, but it is an excellent example of a country that has stabilized and brought in good governance as preconditions to economic development. These are certainly not the only preconditions, but without them development – no matter how we define it – cannot take hold. Obviously other factors are essential to nourish the virtuous cycle of development – local credit, sound infrastructure, investments in human capital, and access to markets – to name just a few.

Canadian contribution

Canada continues to be a major contributor of aid to Africa, and that continent accounts for 45 per cent of Canadian bilateral development assistance and more than half our humanitarian relief. We are at the forefront of debt forgiveness on the continent. We recognize though that there can be no sustainable development without peace, security, democratic development and good governance, and that is why we are devoting more attention to these areas. We believe in developing African capacities, and so we have contributed $2.5 million in support of the OAU’s Mechanism for Conflict Prevention, Management and Resolution. Canada led a multinational force to aid Great Lakes refugees in then eastern Zaire. We are currently participating in the MINURCA operation in the Central African Republic. Our aid programs under CIDA have recognized the importance of peacebuilding and democratic development. I note in particular the $10 million Peacebuilding Fund, which is a joint initiative between Foreign Affairs and CIDA. We know how important stability, democratic institutions and good governance are to the successful development and ultimate prosperity of the African continent.

My recent travels have impressed me that there is still considerable work to do. In that task, your ideas and participation are most welcome. It is also impressive, however, in many of the countries visited, to see the progress that has been made in recent years.

 
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